Forecasts

The “Forecasts” section presents MediaIEU materials ( Go directly to the forecasts ) about events and changes that may occur in the future. We analyse decisions made by individuals, companies and states, as well as changes in behaviour, choice, demand and the movement of money, in order to understand the consequences they may produce.

A forecast is not a guess about the future

The future does not emerge suddenly. It is shaped by the decisions being made today. Human behaviour changes, choice changes with it, new demand develops, money is directed towards new areas — and the system itself gradually changes.

MediaIEU forecasts show a possible direction in which events may develop if existing conditions remain unchanged. We do not claim that there is only one possible future. Decisions made by individuals, new laws, economic changes or unexpected events can alter the direction of development. Therefore, what matters is not only the final conclusion, but also the reasons on which it is based.

Some of the forecasts are based on the model developed by Iv.Spolan — The Fundamental Law of Political Economy. It helps reveal the sequence: Personality → Behaviour → Choice → Demand → Money. Once Money enters the system, it creates the Form of the System, which then influences Demand, Choice, Behaviour and Personality again.

Learn to recognise changes earlier

You can also learn to analyse what is happening and recognise possible consequences before they become obvious to most people. To do this, you need to understand why human behaviour changes, how demand is formed, where money is directed and what Form of the System it creates.

MediaIEU lectures help you acquire the necessary knowledge, while systemic diagnostic tests help reveal how these changes manifest themselves in the lives of individuals, families, companies and states. The earlier you recognise the direction in which events are moving, the more time you have to make a decision.